Which NFL Stadiums Are Best for Betting Unders?

Which NFL Stadiums Are Best for Betting Unders?
Fact Checked by Michael Peters

History will show this era of dominance for the Kansas City Chiefs relied heavily on the talents of quarterback Patrick Mahomes.

There’s some good reasons for that — two MVPs, three Super Bowls and two Super Bowl trophies in five years as a starter with different versions of skill players in that short amount of time.

However, the Chiefs’ defense often gets overlooked and one piece of Kansas sports betting data helps show how important coach Andy Reid’s other unit has been during his 10 years as the top man in Kansas City.

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BetKansas.com took a look back at all NFL over/under results from the past 10 seasons, utilizing data from SportsOddsHistory.com, to see which current stadiums have hit the most unders. This data includes all regular-season games, post-season games and Super Bowls played at the given stadium. We instituted a five-year minimum in the research, excluding Allegiant Stadium and SoFi Stadium from the list.

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Best NFL Stadiums for Under Bettors Since 2013

RankStadiumUnder PercentageTotal Under Record
1Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Falcons)61.22%30-19
2Arrowhead Stadium (Chiefs)6056-37-2
3M&T Bank Stadium (Ravens)58.43%48-34-1
4Lucas Oil Stadium (Colts)57.83%48-35
5Soldier Field (Bears)57.41%46-34-1
T-6Empower Field (Broncos)56.98%48-36-2
T-6Lincoln Financial Field (Eagles)56.98%49-37
8TIAA Bank Field (Jaguars)56.41%44-34
9Levi’s Stadium (49ers)55.42%46-37
10Cleveland Browns Stadium (Browns)54.94%43-35-3

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Chiefs Play Low-Scoring Home Games

The Kansas sports betting apps data shows the Chiefs’ home, Arrowhead Stadium, produces the second most unders of any other NFL stadium by percentage at 60%, and the most total with a record of 56-37-2.

While Mahomes and the Chiefs do a fair amount of scoring, twice ranking No. 1 during his five years, and three times finishing No. 1 in yards, the defense is the one making sure betting the under in Arrowhead can be a great idea.

The first five years of Reid’s tenure were the best defensively, as the Chiefs ranked fifth, second, third, seventh and 15th in the NFL in points allowed. The next year, the team slipped to 24th in points allowed and 31st in yards allowed so defensive coordinator Bob Sutton was replaced.

In the four years since with longtime defensive guru Steve Spagnuolo as coordinator, the Chiefs have been better at seventh, 10th, eighth and 16th in points allowed. They won the Super Bowl in the first year with Spagnuolo after the 2019 season and again last year.

While Mahomes has made a huge difference on offense with stars like Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce and various running backs, the defense has relied on All-Pro seasons by defensive back Tyrann Mathieu and multiple Pro Bowl seasons from defensive end Frank Clark and defensive tackle Chris Jones these past five years.

This past season, four of the Chiefs last five home games came in with the under in victories over the Tennessee (20-17), Jacksonville (27-17), the L.A. Rams (26-10) and Seattle (24-10). The home finale victory against Denver (27-24) hit the over.

BetMGM Sportsbook Kansas lists Kansas City as a 6.5-point favorite over Detroit in its home opener Sept. 7. The over/under for the game is 53.5.

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Author

Douglas Pils has been a sports journalist for 30 years in Texas, Arkansas and New York having worked for the San Antonio Express-News, the Associated Press, The Dallas Morning News and Newsday. He currently runs the Student Media Department at Baylor University.

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