Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Chances: Tracking the Chiefs Playoff Picture in 2025

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Fact Checked by Wes Roesch

The Chiefs went 15–2 in 2024, earning the No. 1 seed and a deep playoff run, but their quest for a historic three-peat ended with a tough loss to the Eagles. Now, Kansas City is on a revenge tour, determined to come back stronger and reclaim its spot at the top. After dropping their first two games, they bounced back with a Week 3 road win over the Giants and a big Week 4 victory against the Ravens. They got back on track after a heartbreaking loss on MNF against the Jaguars with a big home victory over the Detroit Lions on SNF in Week 6. Sitting at 4–3, the Chiefs will host the Commanders in Week 8 on MNF.

Approaching the halfway mark of the season, the Chiefs’ playoff odds remain strong at -340, among the best in the league, and KC has the shortest odds to win the Super Bowl. Here’s what you need to know about Kansas City’s playoff chances and more for the upcoming season.

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Current Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Chances for 2025 Season

The latest Chiefs playoff chances are 88.2%, according to leading Kansas sportsbooks. Some of Kansas City's futures odds have dropped and will continue to fluctuate throughout the year.

Kansas City's odds of making the postseason are used to calculate implied probability, which is where our playoff chances come from. Odds below are from DraftKings Sportsbook. 

⭐️ Chance to Make Playoffs: 88.2% (-750)
❌ Chance to Miss Playoffs: 16.7% (+500)
👑 Chance to Win AFC West: 53.5% (-115)
🥇 Chance to Make Super Bowl: 28.6% (+250)
🏆 Chance to Win Super Bowl: 16.7% (+500)
📅 Information Last Verified: October 24, 2025

What Are the Latest Chiefs Playoff Odds?

The Chiefs' playoff odds are favorable, according to FanDuel Sportsbook Kansas and other sportsbooks. This shouldn't come as a surprise since the Chiefs have made the postseason for the last ten seasons. 

Below, we list everything you need to know about the Chiefs' playoff odds. If you want to bet on Kansas City this season, use the best Kansas sports betting promos to get the most value from your wager.

⭐️ Odds to Make Playoffs: -850 (89.5% chance)
❌ Odds to Miss Playoffs: +500 (15.7% chance)
🏆 Odds to Win Super Bowl: +550 (15.4% chance)
🥇 Odds to Make Super Bowl: +260 (27.8% chance)
👑 Odds to Win AFC West: -115 (53.5% chance)
📅 Information Last Verified: October 24, 2025

Odds above from FanDuel Sportsbook

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Are the Chiefs in the Playoffs? 

No, the Chiefs are not in the playoffs because the season is only in Week 8. They did make the 2024–25 playoffs as the AFC’s No. 1 seed. Currently, Kansas City has favorable odds to make the playoffs at -750 on DraftKings and a 20.0% chance of clinching the No. 1 seed again. With a strong core and Patrick Mahomes leading the way, the Chiefs look primed to compete for another top spot in the AFC.

Chiefs 2025 Opponents & Schedule

Kansas City will rack up 21,695 miles of travel next season, starting with a high-profile opener in Brazil against the Los Angeles Chargers. They’ll face the Cowboys in a Thanksgiving Day showdown in Week 13 and take on the Denver Broncos on Christmas Day in Week 17, a game with major AFC West implications.

Chiefs ScheduleLineResult
Week 1 at LA Chargers (Brazil)KC -3, ML -170L 27-21
Week 2 vs. Philadelphia EaglesKC +1.5, ML +105L 20-17
Week 3 at NY GiantsKC -6, ML -325W 22-9
Week 4 vs. Baltimore RavensKC +2.5, ML +124W 37-20
Week 5 at Jacksonville JaguarsKC -3.5, ML -175L 31-28
Week 6 vs. Detroit LionsKC -1.5, ML -120W 30-17
Week 7 vs. Las Vegas RaidersKC -11.5, ML -850W 31-0
Week 8 vs. Washington CommandersKC -12.5, ML -800TBD
Week 9 at Buffalo BillsKC +2.5, ML +114TBD
Week 10 BYE--
Week 11 at Denver BroncosKC -1.5, ML -122TBD
Week 12 vs. Indianapolis ColtsKC -9.5, ML -425TBD
Week 13 at Dallas CowboysKC -6, ML -245TBD
Week 14 vs. Houston TexansKC -6.5, ML -270TBD
Week 15 vs. LA ChargersKC -4.5, ML -198TBD
Week 16 at Tennessee TitansKC -7, ML -305TBD
Week 17 vs. Denver BroncosKC -4.5, ML -198TBD
Week 18 at Las Vegas RaidersKC -6, ML -238TBD

Odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook

Where Are the Chiefs in the AFC West Divisional Race?

The Chiefs have the best odds to win the AFC West in the 2025-26 season. Below are odds from DraftKings.

  1. Kansas City Chiefs -115 (53.5% chance)
  2. Denver Broncos +260 (27.8% chance)
  3.  Los Angeles Chargers +270 (27.0% chance)
  4. Las Vegas Raiders +30000 (0.3% chance)

The Chiefs won their ninth consecutive AFC West title last season. Here are the current standings for the 2025-26 season:

  1. Denver Broncos 5-2
  2. Los Angeles Chargers 5-3
  3. Kansas City Chiefs 4-3
  4. Las Vegas Raiders 2-5

 

Where Are the Chiefs in the AFC Wild Card Race?

The Chiefs captured the AFC West and secured the No. 1 seed in the 2024-25 season. With nine consecutive division titles, Kansas City hasn’t needed a wild-card berth since 2015-16. For the 2025-26 season, the Chiefs have the best odds to win the AFC at -115 on DraftKings.

Where to Bet on the Kansas City Chiefs Making the Playoffs

All the Kansas sports betting apps offer plenty of Chiefs-themed futures. Each operator has its pros and cons. So, the choice is personal preference.

The big-name books tend to offer more betting markets than some of the smaller operators. So, DraftKings, Fanatics, and BetMGM Kansas might be the best bets.

Coach Andy Reid celebrates

Looking at the Chiefs Playoff History & Results

Kansas City has been the class of the NFL since Andy Reid arrived in the 2013 campaign. In Reid's 11 seasons, Kansas City has made the playoffs ten times. They've reached seven AFC Championships and five Super Bowls, winning three.

Of course, things escalated once Patrick Mahomes became the full-time starter. KC has won the AFC West and made it to the AFC Championship Game in all seven seasons with Mahomes at the helm. He has made the Super Bowl in five of those seven seasons, winning three rings and three Super Bowl MVPs.

Below, we broke down everything you need to know about the Chiefs' playoff history over the last ten years.

2024*:15-2 (Lost Super Bowl)
2023*: 11-6 (Won Super Bowl)
2022*:14-3 (Won Super Bowl)
2021*:12-5 (Lost AFC Championship)
2020*:14-2 (Lost Super Bowl)
2019*:12-4 (Won Super Bowl)
2018*:12-4 (Lost AFC Championship)
2017*:10-6 (Lost Wild Card Round)
2016*:12-4 (Lost Divisional Round)
2015*: 11-5 (Lost Divisional Round)

Note: * Indicates playoff appearance

Chiefs Playoff Chances FAQ:

Author

Calli Varner

Calli has been an avid sports fan since she can remember. After earning her Bachelor’s degrees from the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism at Arizona State University, she combined her passion for journalism and sports. Calli has covered the NFL, NBA, MLB, NCAAF, college sports, and sports betting for several media outlets.

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