Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Odds: Tracking the Chiefs Playoff Picture in 2026

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Fact Checked by Robert Hayek

The Kansas City Chiefs missed the playoffs in 2025 after finishing 6-11, ending a 10-year postseason streak. Patrick Mahomes suffered a torn ACL and LCL late in the season. After returning Week 1 and leading the Chiefs to a 3-0 record, Mahomes has the best odds to win Comeback Player of the Year.

Chiefs playoff odds point to a return to contention. Travis Kelce is back for a 14th season, while Xavier Worthy and Rashee Rice return at receiver. The Chiefs' new addition of Super Bowl LX MVP Kenneth Walker III has proven to be a game changer, rushing for 173 yards in his debut and 117 rushing yards in Week 2's win over the Colts. Walker also scored two touchdowns in Week 3.

Current Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Chances for 2026 Season

The latest Chiefs playoff chances are 85.2% at Kansas sportsbooks. Kansas City is looking to return to the playoffs this season, and the odds are currently in their favor.

We will continue to update this section throughout the season.

⭐️ Chance to Make Playoffs: 85.2% (-575)
👑 Chance to Win AFC West: 61.5% (-160)
🥇 Chance to Win AFC: 18.5% (+440)
🏆 Chance to Win Super Bowl: 8.7% (+1050)
📊 Regular Season Win Total:11.5 (Over +105 / Under -125)
🔁 Mahomes Comeback Player of the Year:72.9% (-270)
📅 Information Last Verified: October 2, 2026

The above odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook. Other sportsbooks, such as FanDuel Sportsbook Kansas list similar odds

Below, we will list everything you need to know about the Chiefs' playoff chances for the season. You can use the best Kansas sports betting promos to get the most value from your futures bet and other NFL odds.

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Are the Chiefs in the Playoffs? 

The Kansas City Chiefs are not currently in the playoffs. The 2026 regular season is just getting underway, so no team has secured a playoff spot yet. After finishing 6-11 and missing the postseason for the first time since 2014, Kansas City enters the new season 3-0 and looking to earn a spot in the 2027 NFL playoffs.

Chiefs 2026-27 Opponents & Schedule

The Kansas City Chiefs opened the 2026 regular season with a win at home against the Denver Broncos on Monday Night Football in Week 1. The Chiefs continued their winning streak by defeating the Colts in OT on SNF in Week 2 and beating the Dolphins in Week 3. Ahead of Week 4's kickoff in Las Vegas, the Chiefs are 4.5-point favorites.

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Where Are the Chiefs in the AFC West Divisional Race?

The Chiefs' odds to win the AFC West are the best in the division ahead of Week 4, even after Denver ended Kansas City's nine-year run of division titles in 2025.

  1. Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) -160
  2. Denver Broncos (2-1) +265
  3. Las Vegas Raiders (3-0) +520
  4. Los Angeles Chargers (0-3) +1750

Where Are the Chiefs in the AFC Wild Card Race?

Week 1 proved that the AFC is vicious this year, but after the Chiefs dominated the Broncos on MNF, Kansas City appears to be right in the mix for the top spot in the conference. Mahomes continues to make his case for CPOY, throwing for 382 yards and three touchdowns in Kansas City's Week 2 win over the Colts, then going 20 of 24 for 246 yards in Week 3's win.

The Chiefs' odds sit at +440 to win the AFC, giving them the third-shortest odds. How Kansas City performs during the coming weeks will determine whether the team can return to the playoffs and compete for another AFC West title.

Where to Bet on the Kansas City Chiefs Making the Playoffs

All the Kansas sports betting apps offer plenty of Chiefs-themed odds and futures. Each operator has its pros and cons, so the choice comes down to personal preference.

The big-name books tend to offer more betting markets than some of the smaller operators, so DraftKings, Fanatics, and BetMGM Kansas might be the best bets.

Coach Andy Reid celebrates

Looking at the Chiefs Playoff History & Results

Kansas City has been the class of the NFL since Andy Reid arrived in the 2013 campaign. In Reid's 13 seasons, Kansas City has made the playoffs 11 times. They've reached seven AFC Championships and five Super Bowls, winning three.

Of course, things escalated once Patrick Mahomes became the full-time starter. KC won the AFC West and reached the AFC Championship Game in each of Mahomes' first seven seasons as the starter, a streak that ended in 2025. He has made the Super Bowl in five of his eight seasons as the starter, winning three rings and three Super Bowl MVPs.

Below, we broke down everything you need to know about the Chiefs' playoff history over the last 11 seasons.

2025:6-11 (Missed playoffs)
2024*:15-2 (Lost Super Bowl)
2023*: 11-6 (Won Super Bowl)
2022*:14-3 (Won Super Bowl)
2021*:12-5 (Lost AFC Championship)
2020*:14-2 (Lost Super Bowl)
2019*:12-4 (Won Super Bowl)
2018*:12-4 (Lost AFC Championship)
2017*:10-6 (Lost Wild Card Round)
2016*:12-4 (Lost Divisional Round)
2015*: 11-5 (Lost Divisional Round)

Note: * Indicates playoff appearance

Chiefs Playoff Chances FAQ:

Author

Calli Varner

Calli has been an avid sports fan since she can remember. After earning her Bachelor’s degrees from the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism at Arizona State University, she combined her passion for journalism and sports. Calli has covered the NFL, NBA, MLB, NCAAF, college sports, and sports betting for several media outlets.

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