Given the increasingly pass-dominated offensive schemes that have taken over the NFL more and more each season, one passing record has been surprisingly hard to topple.
That record is the NFL’s single game passing mark of 554 yards, set by L.A. Rams quarterback Norm Van Brocklin in the team’s 1951 regular season opener.
In the 70-plus years since, several NFL quarterbacks have come close to breaking Van Brocklin’s record, including former Houston quarterback Matt Schaub (who threw for 527 yards against the Jaguars in 2012), but no one has managed to eclipse that mark.
With the NFL fully embracing the pass game as the priority on offense over the past few years, we have entered a territory where the single-game NFL passing record could be broken.
In advance of the season and Kansas sports betting on football, BetKansas.com developed hypothetical odds of which active quarterbacks have the best chance of breaking the record utilizing history, passing percentage and more.
Odds of Breaking Single-Game Pass Record
Mahomes Has Best Odds To Break Record
Few NFL signal-callers have the ability to heave the ball from sideline to sideline quite like Kansas City’s seventh-year quarterback Patrick Mahomes.
The two-time MVP has already thrown for more than 24,000 yards and 190 touchdowns in his six seasons with the Chiefs but has yet to crack the 500-yard mark in a single game.
Mahomes’ career high for yardage came in 2018 against the Rams, when he threw for 478 yards in a 54-51 shootout loss.
Given coach Andy Reid’s throw-first offense, there’s little doubt the reigning MVP is our top pick to break Van Brocklin’s yardage record. And it’s a big reason the Chiefs Super Bowl odds are the best in the NFL.
BetKansas.com gives Mahomes, the former Texas Tech quarterback, +600 (or 14.3%) odds of doing so, with Joe Burrow of Cincinnati (+700) with the second-best odds.
If you’re looking to use Kansas sportsbook promo codes on Mahomes odds you can wager on, he’s plus +650 to win the regular season most valuable player award.