The arrival of summer and the state’s iconic sunflowers means that we’re only a few months from the start of the 2024 college football season in places like Manhattan.
This year, Chris Klieman’s Kansas State Wildcats are coming off three straight seasons with eight or more wins, including a 9-4 run last year that included a win in the Pop-Tarts Bowl.
That success, teemed with the talent that Klieman has amassed in the Little Apple, has inspired oddsmakers at some of Kansas’ largest sportsbooks to buy high on K-State’s potential in 2024.
Utilizing FanDuel Kansas Sportsbook’s current win total for the 2024 college football season, Kansas State was found to be set at 9.5 wins (+114 over). Utilizing SportsReference.com, we found all teams with a 9.5-win total line in the last 3 seasons and how they performed.
Season Performance Of 9.5 Win Total College Football Teams
The stats below could prove useful in the Kansas sports betting world this coming season. Take a look at how teams perform when having a 9.5 win total from the sportsbooks.
Situation | Number of Teams | Percentage* |
|---|---|---|
Under 9.5 Wins | 9 of 20 | 45.0% |
Over 9.5 Wins | 11 of 20 | 55.0% |
College Football Playoff Appearance | 2 of 20 | 10.0% |
End of Season AP Poll Top 25 | 12 of 20 | 60.0% |
*Rounded to nearest whole number
How Recent 9.5 Win Total Teams Have Fared
Over the last three football seasons, nine out of 20 teams with preseason win totals of 9.5 went on to fall short of that benchmark, while 11 others were able to win 10 or more games.
Throw in two teams (Michigan in 2022 and Texas in 2023) that reached the CFP after having a preseason figure of 9.5 and 12 of 20 that finished the season in the final AP Top 25, and you have a pretty good portrait of the type of success that those teams have achieved of late.
For the Wildcats, the program has won 10 or more games three times since 2010, doing so in 2011 (10-3), 2012 (11-2) and 2022 (10-4), joining the seven times that the program reached that many victories between 1995 and 2003 under legendary head coach Bill Snyder.
This year’s K-State squad will look to get to 10 victories, beginning with a gauntlet of a non-conference slate that includes Tennessee-Martin and Arizona at Bill Snyder Stadium, offset by a road clash with Tulane in New Orleans.
The team’s showdown with the Wildcats on Sept. 13 is technically a non-conference clash (despite Arizona joining the Big 12 in 2024) because the two sides scheduled the game prior to the ‘Cats entering the conference.
Regardless, Klieman and his staff will look to get K-State across the finish line with another double-digit win total to their collective names, perhaps getting the program into the CFP for the first time in school history this fall.
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USA Today photo by Nathan Ray Seebeck.
Recent 9.5 Win Total Teams:
Clemson 2023 - Under (9-4) - Top 25
Liberty 2023 - Over (13-1) - Top 25
LSU 2023 - Over (10-3) - Top 25
Oklahoma 2023 - Over (10-3) - Top 25
Oklahoma State 2023 - Over (10-4) - Top 25
Oregon 2023 - Over (12-2) - Top 25
Penn State 2023 - Over (10-3) - Top 25
Tennessee 2023 - Under (9-4) - Top 25
Texas 2023 - Over (12-2) - Top 25 - CFP App
Tulane 2023 - Over (11-3)
USC 2023 - Under (8-5)
Michigan 2022 - Over (13-1) - Top 25 - CFP
Oklahoma 2022 - Under (6-7)
USC 2022 - Over (11-3) - Top 25
Wisconsin 2021 - Under (9-4)
UCF 2021 - Under (9-4)
A&M 2021 - Under (8-4)
Miami 2021 - Under (7-5)
ULL 2021 - Over (13-1) - Top 25
Iowa St 2021 - Under (7-6)
