Betting Patrick Mahomes’ Division Win Streak With Chiefs Offers Modest Returns

Betting Patrick Mahomes’ Division Win Streak With Chiefs Offers Modest Returns
Fact Checked by Michael Peters

It’s been a historic half-decade for MVP quarterback Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs, who joined a club no NFL gunslinger other than Joe Montana belongs to Sunday.

That’s because the 2018 MVP captured his 15th consecutive road victory against an AFC West opponent at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, becoming the second NFL QB to reach such a streak.

Montana famously won 20 straight games against NFC West foes as the leader of the San Francisco 49ers between 1984 and 1993, guiding the Bay Area squad to three Super Bowl victories.

Mahomes, meanwhile, earned his latest AFC West escape in Sunday’s 34-28 victory over the Broncos, despite the Texas Tech alum throwing as many interceptions (three) as touchdowns.

BetKansas.com wanted to contextualize Mahomes’ remarkable streak to determine how much someone interested in Kansas sports betting would make, assuming they placed a $100 moneyline wager on each of the Chiefs’ 15 consecutive AFC West road victories.

Mahomes Road Division Win Streak

Date Opponent Score Chiefs ML
Dec. 31, 2017Denver27-24+155
Sept. 9, 2018L.A. Chargers38-28+170
Oct. 1, 2018Denver27-23-180
Dec. 2, 2018Oakland40-33-900
Sept. 15, 2019Oakland28-10-305
Oct. 17, 2019Denver30-6+155
Nov. 18, 2019L.A. Chargers24-17-252
Sept. 20, 2020L.A. Chargers23-20-330
Oct. 25, 2020Denver43-16-298
Nov. 22, 2020Las Vegas35-31-359
Nov. 14, 2021Las Vegas41-14-149
Dec. 16, 2021L.A. Chargers34-28-171
Jan. 8, 2022Denver28-24-603
Nov. 20, 2022L.A. Chargers30-27-236
Dec. 11, 2022Denver34-28-450


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Mahomes Moneyline Math

The Chiefs’ current AFC West road conquest would net the theoretical Kansas sports betting apps customer more than $2,300 in total.

It’s less than you might imagine because the Chiefs have been favored in their last 13 division road games.

Once you subtract the $1,500 in wagers placed ($100 per game), you’re left with $823.97 in actual winnings after the $22.22 the Chiefs brought home by beating the Broncos as a -450 betting favorite at BetMGM Sportsbook Kansas.

Interestingly enough, Mahomes’ only two games as a division road underdog were Kansas City’s contests against the Broncos in 2017 and the Los Angeles Chargers in 2018. In each of the next 13, the Chiefs have been anywhere from a mild to extreme road favorite.

The most money the theoretical Mahomes bettor would have made was during the Chiefs’ 2018 win over the Chargers as a +170 underdog, with $270 going back to the customer after Kansas City pulled of a 38-28 victory.

The smallest payoff during Mahomes’ streak came against the Raiders in 2018, when the Chiefs were listed at -900 to win — netting the bettor $11.11 on their $100 wager.

In the end, it appears the three consistencies in life should be amended to be death, taxes, and Mahomes beating his conference foes on the road.

The earliest the sixth-year QB will have a shot at matching Montana’s NFL record is in 2024. The Chiefs have one road AFC West game remaining this season — the regular season finale against the Raiders on Jan. 8.

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Contributors

Christopher Boan is a lead writer at BetKansas.com specializing in covering state issues. He covered sports and sports betting in Arizona for more than seven years.

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