Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Chances: Tracking the Chiefs Playoff Picture in 2024-25

Fact Checked by Wes Roesch
Coach Andy Reid celebrates

The Kansas City Chiefs won the AFC West and clinched a spot in the NFL playoffs as the No. 3 seed. After three playoff wins, the Chiefs defeated the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl 58, winning their third title in five years.

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What Are the Chiefs' Playoff Chances?

The Chiefs' playoff chances are 74.4% heading into the 2024-25 NFL season, based on odds from DraftKings Kansas.

⭐ Chiefs Playoff Chances74.4% chance
❌ Chiefs Miss Playoffs25.6% chance
πŸ‘‘ Chiefs Win Super Bowl13.3% chance
πŸ† Chiefs Win AFC23.3% chance
πŸ”₯ Chiefs Win AFC WestNot available
βœ… Data Verified by ExpertApril 15, 2024

The Chiefs' odds to win the Super Bowl, AFC and AFC West are calculated by converting their latest postseason odds into implied probability. This is a percentage that shows the team's chances to make the playoffs.

Chiefs Schedule and Betting Lines

Below is a look at the Chiefs' 2024 opponents. The full schedule with dates and betting lines will be released in May.

vs. Baltimore RavensOdds TBD
vs. Cincinnati BengalsOdds TBD
vs. Denver BroncosOdds TBD
vs. Houston TexansOdds TBD
vs. Las Vegas RaidersOdds TBD
vs. Los Angeles ChargersOdds TBD
vs. New Orleans SaintsOdds TBD
vs. Tampa Bay BuccaneersOdds TBD
at Atlanta FalconsOdds TBD
at Buffalo BillsOdds TBD
at Carolina PanthersOdds TBD
at Cleveland BrownsOdds TBD
at Denver BroncosOdds TBD
at Las Vegas RaidersOdds TBD
at Los Angeles ChargersOdds TBD
at Pittsburgh SteelersOdds TBD
at San Francisco 49ersOdds TBD
βœ… Data Verified by ExpertApril 15, 2024

Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Chances: Key Offseason Updates April 2024

Throughout the 2023 season, we'll be tracking all of the latest moves for the Chiefs, injury updates and more. Stay up to date with the latest Chiefs news and how it impacts Kansas City’s playoff chances.

  • πŸ“† February 11: The Chiefs defeated the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl 58 by a 25-22 score in overtime.
  • πŸ“† December 31: Kansas City clinched the AFC West title and a playoff berth with a win over the Cincinnati Bengals.
  • πŸ“† December 25: The Chiefs fell to 9-6 after suffering a 20-14 loss at the hands of the Las Vegas Raiders. However, they're still essentially locks to make the postseason. 
  • πŸ“† December 17: The Kansas City Chiefs improve to 9-5 with a 27-17 win over the New England Patriots. Their playoff chances remain at 99% according to the New York Times NFL Playoff Simulator.
  • πŸ“† December 10: The Chiefs lose 17-20 to the Buffalo Bills, with their playoff chances at remaining 99% according to the New York Times NFL Playoff Simulator despite losing four of their last six games.
  • πŸ“† December 3: The Chiefs lose 19-27 to the Green Bay Packers, with their playoff chances at 99% according to the New York Times NFL Playoff Simulator.
  • πŸ“† November 26: The Chiefs win 31-17 over the Las Vegas Raiders, improving their chances to make the playoffs from 99% to 99.5%.
  • πŸ“† November 19: The Kansas City Chiefs lost 17-21 to the Philadelphia Eagles to bring them to an overall 7-3 record ahead of Week 12, though the loss did not affect their playoff chances. Despite the loss, their odds to make the playoff remain stable from the week prior at -10000.
  • πŸ“† November 12: The Kansas City Chiefs rest on a Week 10 bye, maintaining a 99% chance to make the playoffs based on the implied probability of their -10000 odds.
  • πŸ“† November 5: The Kansas City Chiefs notch a 21-14 victory over the Miami Dolphins, improving their playoff chances back up to 99%.
  • πŸ“† October 29: The Kansas City Chiefs lose to the Denver Broncos, which forces a slight decrease in their playoff chances from 99.5% down to 98.8%.
  • πŸ“† October 22: The Kansas City Chiefs see another favorable shift in their odds to make the playoffs, now at -20000 following a 31-17 divisional win over the L.A. Chargers.
  • πŸ“† October 12: The Chiefs win 19-8 over the Denver Broncos in their first divisional game of the season, bringing them to a season-high 97.6% chance to make the playoffs based on implied probability.
  • πŸ“† October 8: The Chiefs win 27-20 over the Minnesota Vikings, bringing their odds to make the playoffs up to 94.1%.
  • πŸ“† October 1: The Chiefs win 23-20 over the Jets on Sunday Night Football, bolstering their playoff chances to a season-high 91.7%.
  • πŸ“† September 24: The Chiefs dominate the Chicago Bears 41-10, with the win making them the only team in the AFC West with a winning record through three weeks.
  • πŸ“† September 17: The Chiefs win over the Jaguars in Week 2 with a 17-9 effort in the season debut for TE Travis Kelce and DT Chris Jones.
  • πŸ“† September 11: All-Pro DT Chris Jones ends his holdout from the team after missing Week 1 due to a contract dispute. The team signed him to a new one-year deal to increase his pay for the 2023 season, still set to become a free agent in 2024.
  • πŸ“† September 10: Following the conclusion of Week 1's Sunday games, the Chiefs lost their hold as the odds-favorite to win Super Bowl 58. Now, ahead of Week 2, the San Francisco 49ers are installed as odds-favorites.
  • πŸ“† September 7: The Chiefs lose their Week 1 matchup 20-21 to the Detroit Lions on Thursday Night Football. Kansas City was without All-Pros Travis Kelce (knee) and Chris Jones (contract dispute), two of their best players on either side of the ball.
  • πŸ“† September 5: Andy Reid announces that TE Travis Kelce has hyperextended his knee in practice and is uncertain for Week 1. This news hasn't affected the Chiefs' playoff odds just yet, but the team could see a slight shift depending on the severity of the injury.
  • πŸ“† August 29: The Chiefs placed All-Pro defensive tackle Chris Jones on the reserve/did not report list, having missed all of the team's offseason activities as the two sides are in a stalemate with a contract dispute. Jones must report by Week 8 in order to accrue a season and hit free agency in 2024. Though the move has yet to impact Kansas City's Super Bowl odds, his absence as a key fixture on this offense could be detrimental to their start in 2023.
  • πŸ“† August 21: Kansas City wraps up their preseason with a 2-1 record, scoring a league-high 31.7 points and 414 yards per game on offense β€” even if it is "just the preseason."
  • πŸ“† August 17: Kansas City Chiefs training camp concludes with defensive tackle Chris Jones still yet to report to the team amid a contract dispute.
  • πŸ“† August 4: Chiefs defensive end Charles Omenihu receives a six-game suspension.
  • πŸ“† June 13-15: All-Pro defensive tackle Chris Jones held out of mandatory minicamp as he and the Chiefs attempt to work out another long-term deal.
  • πŸ“† May 4: The Chiefs added offensive tackle Donovan Smith to their offensive line on a one-year deal.
  • πŸ“† April 27-29: Kansas City added seven players in the 2023 NFL Draft, including Kansas State edge rusher Felix Anudike-Uzomah, SMU receiver Rashee Rice and Oklahoma offensive tackle Wanya Morris.
  • πŸ“† March 16: The Chiefs replaced left tackle Orlando Brown Jr. with former Jacksonville Jaguars tackle Jawaan Taylor, and also signed former San Francisco 49ers defensive end Charles Omenihu.
  • πŸ“† March 7: Defensive end Frank Clark was released by the Chiefs, ending his four-year stint in Kansas City.
  • πŸ“† February 12: The Chiefs defeated the Philadelphia Eagles 38-35 in Super Bowl 57, winning their second title in four years.

Make sure to bookmark this page to stay up to date with Chiefs breaking news and developments that may impact the team’s playoff chances.

Key Contributors Toward Chiefs Playoff Chances

After winning the Super Bowl for the third time in five years, the Chiefs' playoff chances heading into the 2024 season are expected to be high. Kansas City will return major players like quarterback Patrick Mahomes, tight end Travis Kelce and receiver Rashee Rice as they try to build on their championship season. It remains to be seen whether K.C. will retain top talents like defensive lineman Chris Jones and cornerback L'Jarius Sneed, and if the team will sign more wide receiver talent to complement their offense.

⭐️ For More: Patrick Mahomes Fantasy Names

Where Can I Bet on the Chiefs to Make the Playoffs?

You can bet on the Chiefs to win the Super Bowl at major Kansas sportsbooks like ESPN BET, DraftKings, FanDuel Kansas, BetMGM, and Caesars, as long as you are 21+ and within state lines of a state that offers legal sports betting.

Futures bets like the Chiefs' Super Bowl odds tend to hold the biggest variance between sportsbooks, so it's always a good idea to check out multiple Kansas betting apps to make sure you're getting the best price.

Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Must be 21+ to participate & present in KS. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-522-4700 . Visit BetMGM.com for Terms & Conditions. US promotional offers not available in NY, NV, or Puerto Rico.

Looking Ahead: Chiefs Playoff Picture

After winning Super Bowl 58, the Chiefs should be one of the biggest favorites to make the playoffs again in 2024-25. The Chiefs have made the playoffs every year since 2015.

⭐️ For More: Travis Kelce Fantasy Names

Do the Chiefs Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?

The Chiefs have just as good of a chance as any other NFL team to make the playoffs in 2024-25 after winning Super Bowl 58.

Are the Chiefs Out of Playoffs?

The Chiefs won Super Bowl 58 on Feburary 11, making them the defending NFL champions once again. In 2024, the Chiefs have a chance to become the first team ever to win three championships in a row.

Where Do the Chiefs Rank in the AFC West?

The Chiefs won the AFC West with a 11-6 record in 2023. Here were the final standings:

  1. Kansas City Chiefs 11-6
  2. Las Vegas Raiders 8-9
  3. Denver Broncos 8-9
  4. Los Angeles Chargers 5-12

Outside of the Chiefs, all other AFC West teams were eliminated from playoff contention for 2023-24. Better luck next year for those teams.

Where Do the Chiefs Rank in the AFC Playoff Standings?

The Chiefs ranked as the No. 3 seed in the playoff standings with an 11-6 record, only behind the Baltimore Ravens (No. 1) and Buffalo Bills (No. 2). Despite ranking third, the Chiefs went on to win Super Bowl 58.

Where Do the Chiefs Rank in the AFC Wild-Card Race?

The Chiefs won the AFC West, meaning they captured a top-four seed. The Chiefs have won the AFC West for eight straight seasons, dating back to 2016, which put them in the mix as a top-four seed rather than in the mix as a wild-card team.

Can the Chiefs Get the No. 1 Seed?

The Chiefs did not get the No. 1 seed in 2023. The Baltimore Ravens clinched the top seed in the AFC.

The Chiefs earned the No. 1 seed in 2018, 2020 and 2022 under Patrick Mahomes, while earning the No. 2 seed in 2019 and 2021. Only the No. 1 seed can earn a first-round bye now that seven teams in each conference make the playoffs, making that top seed all the more important.

Who to Root for if You’re a Chiefs Fan

Fans of the Chiefs will naturally root against their AFC West rivals, including the Chargers, Broncos, and Raiders. Additionally, Chiefs fans may choose to root against top teams who threaten the Chiefs' desire for a top seed, such as the Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo Bills and Cincinnati Bengals.

Chiefs Postseason Outlook and Predictions

The Chiefs won their third title in five years by winning Super Bowls 54, 57 and, most recently, 58. Now they have a chance to become the first NFL team to "three-peat" in 2024-25.

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Kansas City Chiefs Playoffs FAQs


Kate Magdziuk is an NFL betting expert for BetKansas.com, focusing on the Kansas City Chiefs. She's written for NBC Sports Rotoworld, DraftKings Nation, Gaming Society, and 4for4 Fantasy Football. She'll track the Chiefs' playoff chances and Super Bowl odds, where she'll use her expertise in fantasy football and sports betting to deliver the most up-to-date information available for KS bettors.

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